According to New Times' Stephen Lemmons and the Republic's Laurie Roberts, sources are indicating that Andrew Thomas is planning to "concede" this afternoon. This, even though there does not seem to be any discernible trend in how the late early ballots are distributed between Thomas and Horne. Horne's lead went from the 300's on Wednesday to just over 1,000 on Thursday, and has now gone back down to 817 as of 1:40 this afternoon.
Channel 12's Brahm Resnik appropriately pointed this out in a Tweet and asked why. And, I agree: even if later votes are more likely to be cast for Horne - presumably because of the late release of the grand jury information - there is still too much unpredictability. Not much seems to be gained by "conceding" now. It does not stop the tabulation process, and it does not prevent the state from having to conduct a required recount if the final result is within 200 votes. It does not free up Horne to start campaigning to any significant degree, and it does not mean that Thomas would not accept the nomination if the final count is in his favor.
So, again: Why?
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