FOLLOWING MONEY IN 2016 PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS

Friday, August 28, 2015

OFF-TOPIC: Ex-Cardinal Star's New Film Debuts Today At A Theater Near You

Sure, he made a few stops along the way*, but Simeon Rice has now gone from the Arizona Cardinals to having his screen-writing/directorial/producerorial(?) debut tonight.

The Rolling Stone reports on "Unsullied", which it calls a "survival-horror film".  It will be opening at several Valley-area theaters tonight.

Rice was a top draft pick for the Cardinals, and became a sack stud in his four years in Arizona.  He was a key force in getting the team to the playoffs in his 3rd year, and was an always-entertaining interview on sports talkshows and TV.

We probably won't be seeing this movie, but we wish him all the best in his new line of work.  Here's how he compared the two:

"In football, what you see is what you get. It's a dog-eat-dog business, but the best will survive. The team that is supposed to win does win. The best person will win. Football is honest," he says. "You can't prepare for something like making a film. The hope is people connect with it, but that's an abstract thing. You can be the best actor in the world, but you still might not get the part. You can make the best film in the world, but that doesn't mean people are going to see it."

* Yeah, including the Super Bowl-winning stop in Tampa Bay, dammit.

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Friday, August 21, 2015

Sen. Flake's Decision To Oppose Iran Nuclear Deal Costs Arizona Economy* $305,000 (FOLLOWING MONEY IN ARIZONA'S POLITICS)

Last week, Arizona's Politics reported on a $445,000 ad blitz designed to persuade Arizona Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) to not become the only Republican Senator voting to approve the Iran nuclear deal.  The ad began running on Friday. On Saturday, Flake announced that he would vote against the deal when it comes before Congress in September.

On Monday, the dark money group funding the powerful ad - featuring a veteran who suffered severe injuries in Iraq from an Iranian-sponsored IED - canceled $305,000 worth of the ads scheduled on Phoenix television stations. (It never ran on Tucson stations.)

Mitchell Nye, the Director of Sales at KPHO (Ch.5) and KTVK (Ch.3), confirmed the blow (more than $100,000 to those two stations alone) to Arizona's Politics. "They decided to move their money to markets where they could still influence the vote."

Of course, the $140,000 that was spent was (a) found money that would not have reached Arizona if Flake had not (properly) waited to consider the actual language of the complex deal; and, (b) a drop in the bucket to the monies that will be spent during the 2016 election cycle.

* Arizona's Politics has not conducted an economic analysis of how much of each local television advertising dollar stays in the Arizona economy - or, of any multiplier effect. If Local First AZ - or, anyone else - has studied that, please reply in the comments section. We might include that in future articles.

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LEAKED: U.S. Chamber May Try To Help Rep. McSally By Playing In Democratic Primary (#50ShadesOfDarkMoney)

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce spent more than $600,000 last year to help elect Martha McSally (R-CD2) in a nail-biter of a race.  To help re-elect her next year, they are looking at battering one or both of her possible opponents in the Democratic primary.

The Associated Press has obtained an internal Chamber memo suggesting that the Chamber start playing in the contested Democratic primary between State Rep. Victoria Steele and former State Rep. Matt Heinz.

As the AP quotes from the Chamber's memo - written by its top political operatives to be considered by its Public Affairs Committee - Democrats have recently acknowledged playing in GOP primaries to their benefit, so this would be a fair turnabout.  Missouri Senator Claire McCaskill recently wrote a detailed piece on Politico about how she paid for advertisements to assist the ill-fated Todd Akin to win the primary there in 2012, because he was seen as the weakest Republican candidate in the general election

It is unclear whether the Chamber would try to bolster Steele, Heinz or some other candidate-yet-to-be-named, or would just bash whoever is leading in the primary contest.  The Chamber's ads in the past are usually your stereotypical negative ad (e.g. "the world will end if you support X"), but it occasionally dabbles in positive ads.

As Arizona's Politics reported, McSally was the beneficiary of both last year: the Chamber had Jeb Bush cut a Spanish-language ad praising McSally ($250,000), and spent approximately $350,000 bashing Democratic incumbent Ron Barber.

In that article, Arizona's Politics also slotted the U.S. Chamber of Commerce as "as dark as they come" on its #50ShadesOfDarkMoney scale.  The Chamber religiously does not disclose the identities of donors to its $68,000,000+ (in last two cycles) independent expenditure fund.  It ranks as a "50" on the 1-50 (1 being fully open) scale.

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Thursday, August 20, 2015

BREAKING/LEAKED: Yuma Drone Came Within 100ft of a Navy T-45 Goshawk Last Month, FAA Report Shows; 3 Close Calls In Phoenix This Month

In late July, a rogue drone came within 100 feet of a Navy T-45 Goshawk jet flying near Yuma. In the past three weeks, there have been three close calls between drones and aircraft in the Phoenix area.

FAA reports of these four incidents are among several hundred that were leaked by a government
official to the Washington Post, and reported on this afternoon.  The article begins with a swarm of close calls - 12 - around the country on Sunday, but the Arizona naval close call is highlighted further down in the article.                                                            

The Navy T-45 Goshawk (built by McDonnell-Douglas) was apparently flying out of the Marine Corps Air Station in Yuma on approximately July 24 when a "drone buzzed 100 feet underneath the trainer aircraft," according to the reporting pilot.

One of the three August close calls in the Phoenix area involved an American Airlines passenger jet.  According to the Post:

AA605 arrives into Phoenix from Columbus (OH), and then departs to Calgary (Alberta).

The other two near misses involved small planes (and, smaller drones).

Drones are largely unregulated, but are becoming the focus of increasing concern because the number of near-misses is growing rapidly.

The Post article indicates that the the FAA reports were leaked to them because the "government official... objected to the FAA’s secrecy. Laura Brown, an FAA spokeswoman, declined to comment on the reports obtained by The Post."

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Wednesday, August 12, 2015

UPDATED, WATCH: Flake Target of New $445K Ad Blitz By Veterans and Bipartisan Group Opposing Iran Nuclear Deal

(UPDATE, 8/13, 1:00p,m.: The 30-second version of the new ad is now available on ASI's YouTube page, and is presented at the bottom of this article. ASI has not yet released the Flake-specific ad.)

Arizona Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) is about to be hit hard about his vote on the Iran nuclear deal.  A combination of a veteran who was the victim of an Iranian-financed bomb blast (in Iraq, 2005) and a bipartisan group led by ex-Senators have purchased approximately $445,000 in 30- and 60-second ads on Phoenix television stations, beginning Friday.

The American Security Initiative, Inc. is a 501(c)(4) group that is not disclosing where the money for the $6.2M ad blitz (in 8 other states) is coming from.  The Phoenix ad buy is approximately $445,692. (see below for copy)  They are teaming up with a group called Veterans Against the Deal.

The 60-second ad (below) features Retired Staff Sergeant Robert Bartlett, who shows and describes the bomb blast that "cut me in half from the left corner of my temple down through my jaw."  He states that Senators who vote to approve the agreement with Iran and other countries will "have blood on their hands" because the money Iran will make after sanctions are lifted will fund more terrorism.  (A point that President Obama has conceded while claiming that the deal will forestall Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.)

Bartlett also was interviewed in greater depth on Fox News (by Megyn Kelly), last night.

Flake continues to be undecided on how he will vote next month, but his comments do seem to indicate that he is very skeptical of the agreement.  He has already been the target of an ad campaign by the Citizens for a Nuclear Free Iran (believed to be financed by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee ("AIPAC")).

This new American Security Initiative was created by four ex-U.S. Senators (Norm Coleman, Evan Bayh, Joe Lieberman, and Saxby Chambliss). The two Republicans and two Democrats have/had very close ties with AIPAC.  The ASI ran an explosive ad on the subject back in March, when Congress was negotiating with the Administration how to handle a then-hypothetical agreement.

https://youtu.be/asVYEBSSjxY



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Tuesday, August 4, 2015

U.S. Chamber Spent More Than $350K As McCain's Wingman; Senator Then Speaks To Chamber's Procurement Council About Opening Up DoD To New Contractors (FOLLOWING MONEY IN ARIZONA'S POLITICS)

After Presidential candidate Donald Trump attacked Arizona Senator John McCain's military record, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce took over the role of wingman, spending more than $350K on ads burnishing McCain's record.
As the Arizona TV air campaign wound down, McCain keynoted the Chamber's Procurement Council and explained how he was helping open up Defense Department spending for more and newer defense contractors.*

The rare off-year, large-scale political ad buy came as McCain was at the top of the news for his back-and-forth with Trump, and ran frequently on Phoenix airwaves through this past weekend.  FCC filings showed that the U.S. Chamber spent at least $266,000.  (Surprisingly, it did not run on Tucson TV stations.)  Combined with production and internet advertising, the total came to $350,150.

Coincidentally, as the ads stopped running, McCain - as Chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee - went before Chamber members and explained how the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) that he has been working on contains a lot of acquisition reform measures for the Pentagon, to fight the "emerging innovation gap".
“That’s why a major focus of the NDAA is improving access to non-traditional and commercial contactors. The NDAA incentivizes commercial innovation by removing barriers to new entrants into the defense market. By adopting commercial buying practices for the Defense Department, the bill makes it easier for non-traditional firms to do business with the Pentagon. And crucially, we ensure that businesses are not forced to cede intellectual property developed at their expense to the government."
Also at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's event last week, McCain was asked about whether the Senate should have a Select Committee on Cyber Security.  "I've been banging around the idea," was McCain's response. He noted - to DefenseOne.com - that there are at least six committees that have some oversight.
McCain also raised question about America’s cyber policy:“Is it the United States policy to play pure defense against cyber attacks? Is it the United States policy to launch preemptive attacks when they know that they’re out there surfing the Internet and trying to penetrate. Is it our policy to retaliate? Are the cyber attacks acts of war?”


* Of course, many of those new "innovators" are likely to be Chamber members and part of its Procurement Council.

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Thursday, July 30, 2015

AWKWARD!?! John McCain Is Lindsey Graham's BFF, But Jeb Bush's Asst Treasurer Is (Also) On MCCAIN'S Payroll (IT'S A SMALL, SMALL WORLD...and a BIG, BIG 2016 FIELD)

This could make for some awkward conversations (and potential conflicts of interest), or maybe it is only a matter of the political world being too small for the ever-expanding universe of presidential candidates.

John McCain (R-AZ) is best friends with fellow Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC)
(from Time.com)
and is Graham's biggest cheerleader for his 2016 Presidential campaign.  However, one of only three people on McCain's (campaign's) payroll - week-in and week-out - is Salvatore Purpura. Purpura is listed as Assistant Treasurer for Friends of John McCain, Inc.

However, McCain's Mr. Purpura is ALSO currently serving as the Assistant Treasurer for presidential rival Jeb Bush's campaign corporation.
(from Breitbart.com, possibly from AP)



Brian Rogers, McCain's Communications Director, tells Arizona's Politics that "there's no conflict there at all".  "Sal has worked in treasury operations for Senator McCain's campaign committees for many years, going back to his last presidential campaign. Sal got his start in politics working for Governor Bush, and worked on three of his campaigns."

With the long, long list of major Presidential candidates seeking the two major parties' nominations, this is probably not the only instance of people working for multiple officials' campaigns who might be pulling in different directions.

* * * * *

On a side note, with McCain's campaign's four employees all working in or near Washington, D.C., Communications Director Rogers also tells Arizona's Politics that the Senator "is staffing up in Arizona now." (Watch this space for "announcements in the near future.")


* Arizona's Politics digitally-stumbled upon this information while attempting to find a McCain campaign press person to ask questions about another subject. McCain had not yet hired a campaign spokesperson.  Arizona's Politics has reached out for comment to the new Communications Director for the campaign, and will supplement this article as warranted. 


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Wednesday, July 29, 2015

Two Arizona GOP Reps Among 18 Pledging To Oppose Any Measures That Provide Funding To Planned Parenthood

Arizona Reps. Matt Salmon and Trent Franks are among 18 Republican Congressmembers signing a letter pledging to oppose any funding measures that provide any support to Planned Parenthood.

The letter to House leadership comes as concern about undercover videos regarding Planned Parenthood and fetal tissue from abortions continues to mount.  The funding threat is of particular interest as the deadline for continued funding of the federal government (again) approaches.

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READ: Arizona Court of Appeals Did NOT Just Permit "Voting Early And Often"

Contrary to the lead sentence of an article, and a tweet touting the article, Arizona judges did not just decide "voting early and often is not illegal in Arizona.'

The appellate opinion reverses the conviction of a Bullhead City woman who allegedly voted ballots in both Arizona's and Colorado's 2010 elections.  After noting that the woman claims that she did not actually vote the Colorado ballot (she returned the envelope with a note saying she had moved to AZ), the judges find that because there were no races in common on the two ballots - it was not a Presidential election - it would not have run afoul of Arizona's voting statutes.

The tweet (and lede) states: 


While catchy, that is simply not at all close to the finding of the Court.  Here is the statute, and here is the unanimous opinion:



(This article contributed by Tempe attorney Paul Weich.)

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Friday, July 17, 2015

Ann Kirkpatrick Raises $432K In 5 Weeks, Has $637K In Bank For McCain Challenge

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-CD1) raised more than $432,000 in the 5 weeks after she announced that she would challenge Sen. John McCain next year.  After transferring $259,000 from her House re-election campaign, Kirkpatrick had more than $637,000
in the bank when the 2nd quarter ended on June 30.

However, that is dwarfed by the more than $4.5M that McCain had in his checking account that morning (in addition to his name ID advantage).

Arizona's Politics obtained a copy of her summary report that was filed with the U.S. Senate on the 15th.  It has not yet publicly appeared on the FEC's website. (See below)

(Article about incumbent Senator John McCain's $4.5M in bank is here.)

Kirkpatrick announced her decision to forego running for reelection to her very competitive Congressional seat (she was 2-1 in elections there) on May 26.  Between April 1 and May 25, she raised $100,000 for that campaign.  Combined with almost all of the cash on hand she had in that ("Kirkpatrick for Arizona") account, she transferred more than $259,000 to the new "Kirkpatrick for Senate" committee.

Once she announced the Senate run, she collected $432,000.  All but $15,000 was from individuals; the $15K was from PACs (political action committees).

However, interestingly, on May 25 (the day before the announcement), she received nearly $30,000 from more than 20 different PACs.*

*Federal election laws do not permit those PACs to "double up" their contributions by the House-to-Senate switch; they will still be limited to the $5,000 limit. Most likely, the contributions were timed to improve her individual-to-PAC ratio in her Senate campaign; That often becomes a talking point for candidates and a data point in reporters' articles.






(Arizona election law attorney Paul Weich contributed to this report.)

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McCain Brings In 30% LESS Money After Announcing, But Still Hauls In $1.4M...With $4.5M In Bank

In the quarter ending June 30, John McCain, Arizona's senior U.S. Senator, took in 1/3 LESS money than he had in the quarter BEFORE announcing his re-election bid.  However, the $1.4M still more than doubles his Democratic opponent's.

McCain also had more than $4.5M in the bank when he opened his eyes on the first day of this month.  His announced Republican opponent, state lawmaker Kelli Ward does not have to this separate article.
file a campaign finance report  until October.  Democratic opponent Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick raised nearly $700,000, which is further addressed in

McCain fundraised hard in the first quarter, telling potential donors that he wanted to hear from them to help him make up his mind about whether to run for a 6th 6-year term.  The money spoke loudly, and he took in more than $2.1M.  Coupled with transfers of more than $1.1M from his 2008 Presidential race committee, and the astounding cash on hand total is easily understood.

In this past quarter, McCain raised nearly $1.0M ($977,000) from individuals, and $244,500 from PACs (political action committees).  He spent more than half-a-million to raise that money and to power his campaign.  The full report, filed on the 15th but just made public this morning, is below (and, here:



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