Thursday, September 1, 2022

BREAKING: DSCC Blasts Blake Masters With New $1.8M Ad Buy, Still Trails GOP Counterpart (MONEY IN AZ'S POLITICS)

Arizona TV stations continue to reap the benefits of Arizona's swing state status, as the national Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee ("DSCC") today disclosed a $1.8M ad buy to blast Blake Masters.

The buy - actually, two separate spends - brings the DSCC total benefitting Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) in his re-election battle to just over $5.3M for the cycle. 

Its Republican counterpart ("NRSC") last disclosed a new buy two weeks ago, but has spent more than $6.1M.

The NRSC and the DSCC are the parties' official disclosed-money operations to support U.S. Senate campaigns. Both are paired with operations that accept dark money contributions, and Republican leader Mitch McConnell is currently in a dispute with Blake Masters' benefactor and former employer, Peter Thiel over who should fund the negative ads against Kelly. According to yesterday's Washington Post, the Senate Leadership Fund canceled $8M in ad reservations to pound Kelly during the next few weks.

Here are the amounts spent to date in this cycle by each of these major organizations:

MARK KELLY
$29,775,670.13    Kelly's official campaign committee (not just advertising) (thru 7/31)
$  5,301,779.57    DSCC (thru 9/1 IE reports)
$  2,966,161.10    SMP (partly dark) (thru 8/31 IE reports)
$                           Majority Forward (nothing reported to FEC this cycle, but have run ads)
$38,043,610.80

BLAKE MASTERS
$  3,338,840.68       Masters' official campaign committee (not just advertising) (thru 7/13)
$  6,143,060.12       NRSC (thru 8/20 IE reports)
$                              Senate Leadership Fund (nothing reported to FEC this cycle, but have run ads)
$                              One Nation (nothing reported to FEC this cycle, but have run ads)
$10,651,381.19       Saving Arizona PAC (Thiel-funded pro-Masters Super-PAC) (thru 8/2 IE reports)
$20,133,281.99



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Monday, August 29, 2022

BREAKING: APS Spent $851,000 To Help Kari Lake's Gubernatorial Effort; Ducey-Led RGA Spent More Than $9.2M

UPDATE, 1/2/23, 12pm: "BREAKING: APS Spent $851,000 To Help Kari Lake's Gubernatorial Effort; Ducey-Led RGA Spent More Than $7M"

APS, Arizona's largest public utility, continued to spend big to back Republican Kari Lake in her failed effort to succeed Doug Ducey as Arizona Governor. The utility gave more than $850,000 to the Ducey-led Republican Governors Association in the past election cycle, $600,000 coming *after* Lake won the Republican primary (in August).

The national RGA, in turn, funneled more than $9.2M into the Governor's race in the final five weeks of the campaign. The money was given to the Yuma County Republican Central Committee and then spent on advertising - political party entities receive lower advertising rates than non-official-party organizations. 

(Because the Yuma County committee also accepted contributions directly - not only from the RGA - and because its most recent report was through Oct. 22, the final amount spent is not yet clear. For instance, the RGA gave more than $1.1M to Yuma GOP on October 28, and others likely contributed as the race tightened before Election Day.)

Arizona's Politics reported in August about the large, pre-primary contributions given by APS and Karrin Taylor Robson to the RGA, in light of the apparent intra-party schism between more "Establishment" Republicans and those receiving the endorsement of former President Donald Trump.

Many of those large contributors did NOT give money to the RGA after the primary, but a few Ducey allies did. We are thus updating the list published in August to reflect those changes, and adding some of the other contributors who gave directly to the Yuma County GOP.

As noted in a very good article yesterday from Bob Christie(!) of Capitol Media Services, APS also appears to be trying to do "some fence-mending", sponsoring inauguration events for the winning candidate, Katie Hobbs.

Here is a list of the largest Arizona contributors to the RGA* in 2022:

1. PinnWest, $851,000 (2021-22 combined)
2.     Suspense, $250,000 (Oct. 17, Yuma, new to list, Ohio)
3.     Fuji Food Products, $200,000 (Oct. 13, Yuma, new to list, CA company)
3.     Scott Schirmer, $200,000 (Oct. 20, Yuma, new to list)
5. University of Phoenix, $155,000 (up from #4)
6. Blandford Homes, $150,000
7.     GM, LLC, $150,000
8. Tom Lewis, $125,000 (gave to both RGA and Yuma, homebuilder)
9. Randy Kendrick, $100,000 (AZ Diamondbacks, new to list, contributed on 8/22)
9.     Dante Ghilotti, $100,000 (Oct. 13, Yuma, new to list, CA construction)
9.     SGA, $100,000
9. Timothy Day, $100,000
9. Charter One, LLC, $100,000
9. DFX, LLC, $100,000
9. Drew Brown (DMB Development), $100,000
9. Thirunavukkaras Thangarthinam (MST Solutions), $100,000
17. John Hammergren, $70,000
17. Gregory Milzcik, $70,000
19.    The Geo Group, $50,000 (Oct. 13, Yuma, new to list, private prison contractor)
19. Offerpad, LLC, $50,000
19. Gila River Indian Community, $50,000
19. Lawrence Heitz, $50,000
19. Quynh Nhu Palomino, $50,000
19. Robert Delgado (Pres. Of Hensley), $50,000
19. Shamrock Foods, $50,000
19. SRP, $50,000
27. El Dorado Holdings, $40,000
28. Art Martori, $35,000
28. Barbara Barrett, $35,000
28. Jim Click, $35,000
28. Marilyn Hayden, $35,000
28. Jerre Stead (Clarivate PLC), $35,000
28.    Craig Jackson (Barrett-Jackson Auctions) $35,000 (new to list)
34.    Robert Kiyosaki, $25,000 (Oct. 20, Yuma, new to list)
34.    Don Tapia, $25,000 (Oct. 13, Yuma, new to list, now retired in FL)

The RGA's post-general report is posted below. Here is a link to the 3rd quarter report, and here's the link to the Yuma County Republican Central Committee's pre-general report.

*The RGA was the principle funder of the Yuma County Republican Central Committee, so we are including large contributors who gave directly (aka downstream) to the latter

ORIGINAL ARTICLE, 8/29, 4pm: "BREAKING: APS Spends Big To Elect Kari Lake; So, Too, Do Former Taylor Robson Endorsers, Others"
Arizona’s two largest electric utilities have brought the power – and, the money – to Kari Lake’s effort to become the next Arizona Governor. Even if unintentionally.

APS’s parent company, Pinnacle West, has contributed more than $251,000 to the Republican Governors Association this election cycle, and Salt River Project (SRP) chipped in $50,000. APS has had a recent history of contributing large amounts to help elect outgoing Governor Doug Ducey and Attorney General Mark Brnovich, as well as funneling millions through dark money organizations to elect Corporation Commissioners.

The contributions to RGA are publicly disclosed quarterly, in filings with the Internal Revenue Service. A review of the most recent reports (below) indicate that PinnWest gave $101,000 in 2021 and $150,000 through the first six months of 2022. SRP’s two $25,000 checks both were reported this past June.

Ducey is the Chair of the national RGA powerhouse, which has raised $60M in 2022. RGA Press secretary Will Reinert tells Arizona’s Politics that the RGA is all in on the Arizona race between Republican nominee Kari Lake and Democrat Katie Hobbs. “In the Spring, we reserved $10M in ad time, and we added another million after the primary.”

Before the August 2 primary, Ducey blasted Lake and had been evasive during a CNN interview about whether the RGA would support Lake if she defeated Karrin Taylor Robson. ("To be determined...we don't support landslides.") The ad buys answer that question, and the first ad (which has stopped running) featured a woman associated with QAnon with the ad referencing child trafficking.

APS and SRP are not the only Arizona companies or individuals who put in significant amounts of funds to the RGA effort, even before the primary was decided. More than $2M in Arizona monies went to the RGA; there are 29 who contributed at least $10,000.  The RGA is gradually transferring it – and more – to its Arizona political committee to pay for the ads. (Note: Contributions to candidates are limited, but there are no limits to organizations such as the RGA. PinnWest does not contribute to the Democratic Governors Association.)

Many big contributors were Taylor Robson endorsees, and Arizona’s Politics has reached out to a few for their comments. None have responded yet, but it calls to mind Ducey’s well-reported comments indicating that he preferred Wendy Rogers to her (last) Democratic opponent because he wants to “move my agenda forward”. (We have also asked APS and SRP for comments, and will update this article as warranted.)

Lauren Kuby is running on a Democratic slate for Corporation Commission. Her slate partner is Sandra Kennedy, who is one of the candidates who was slimed by APS's previous dark money campaigns. Kuby issued this statement to Arizona's Politics:

Over $250,000 to weaken democracy, take away abortion rights, and deny climate science. Not a good look for APS... when we know that over 70% of Arizonans want to see a transition to a clean energy future. Their contribution to the Governor's race is disturbing. The flow of money to legislators who want to kneecap the powers of ACC stands in contradiction to their pledge to stay out of the ACC race. Let's shine a spotlight on these contributions, as the voters have a right to know who's trying to influence their elections and increase their electric utility rates.
Here is a list of the largest Arizona contributors to the RGA in 2022:

1. PinnWest, $251,000 (2021-22 combined)
2. Blandford Homes, $150,000
3. GM, LLC, $150,000
4. University of Phoenix, $125,000
5. SGA, $100,000
6. Timothy Day, $100,000
7. Charter One, LLC, $100,000
8. DFX, LLC, $100,000
9. Drew Brown (DMB Development), $100,000
10. John Hammergren, $70,000
11. Thirunavukkaras Thangarthinam (MST Solutions), $70,000
12. Gregory Milzcik, $70,000
13. Tom Lewis, $50,000
14. Offerpad, LLC, $50,000
15. Gila River Indian Community, $50,000
16. Lawrence Heitz, $50,000
17. Quynh Nhu Palomino, $50,000
18. Robert Delgado (Pres. Of Hensley), $50,000
19. Shamrock Foods, $50,000
20. SRP, $50,000
21. Art Martori, $35,000
22. El Dorado Holdings, $35,000
23. Barbara Barrett, $35,000
24. Jim Click, $35,000
25. Marilyn Hayden, $35,000
26. Jerre Stead (Clarivate PLC), $35,000

Links to the 2022 reports - 1st quarter and 2nd quarter.

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Friday, April 15, 2022

BREAKING: Sinema Adds $1.4M To Her Warchests For 2024; Travels With Security Detail

Arizona Senator Kyrsten Sinema received less contributions from corporate PACs in the 1st quarter of 2022, but built up her warchests to $7.7M cash on hand for the 2024 campaign.

The reports also disclose that the lawmaker spent nearly $10,000/month for a traveling security detail as she continues to deal with disgruntled fellow Democrats.

The bottom line numbers for her main campaign account look like this, with her increasing the bank account balance to just shy of $7M:

Of those receipts, $185,500 are from PACs (mostly corporate).

Sinema's leadership PAC - Getting Stuff Done PAC - brought in another $197,500 in PAC monies. A quick perusal shows a number of pharmaceutical and financial companies kicked in. The PAC contribution total is half of what she brought in in that category for the last quarter of 2021.

Her security detail expenses - paid out of the leadership PAC - totaled $28,656 for January through March. The report (below) also shows trips to Park City, Utah and a $34,500 tab at the Enchantment Resort in Sedona (for event facility rental).

Sinema is likely to face a Democratic primary challenge in 2024, and a difficult general election if she proceeds. Rumors continue to circulate that she either will run as an Independent or make a Presidential bid.

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Thursday, March 31, 2022

BREAKING: Ken Bennett, Senate's Election "Audit" Liaison Starts Last-Minute Bid To Re-Join The Senate

The State Senate's liaison to last year's notorious Maricopa County election "audit" is making a last-minute bid to re-join the State Senate.
(Ken Bennett watching a Ninja)


Ken Bennett was previously best known for his 1 1/2 terms as Arizona's Secretary of State and his stint as President of the Senate. He filed a Statement of Interest yesterday to begin collecting signatures for the GOP nomination in LD1, and would be replacing current Senate President Karen Fann.

Two Republicans have already filed their nominating signatures - former Rep. Noel Campbell and Steve Zipperman. Bennett's six day sprint indicates that he and others are likely not happy with those choices.

The deadline for all partisan candidates to submit signatures is this coming Monday, April 4. With the eQual system BACK ONLINE as of last night, Bennett has the opportunity to get some 450 supporters to sign online.



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Wednesday, March 2, 2022

Arizona's Paul Gosar Voted "Nay" On Supporting People of Ukraine; Here's Why His Reasoning Is Nonsensical (READ Resolution)

The U.S. House of Representatives voted 426-3 today to support the people of Ukraine. Arizona's Paul Gosar (R-CD4) was one of those "nays". His reasoning completely misreads the resolution.

(from 2021)

Gosar was joined by fellow Republicans Kentucky's Thomas Massie and Montana's Matt Rosendale. They are obviously the only three who misread the plain language as a declaration of war.

Gosar issued his anti-war manifesto on Twitter tonight, claiming "There is language in HR 956 giving Ukraine defacto NATO status with reference  to Art. 5. Which is mandatory war authorization."
This would come as major news to the rest of the House, President Joe Biden and the rest of the world.

(As a side note, Gosar has been in Congress for long enough that he should automatically type the correct bill or resolution number. "HR 956" would be a bill to pass law. What he voted on today was "H.Res. 956", which is a resolution. Searching for "HR 956" would bring you to the pending "National Aviation Heritage Area Reauthorization Act".)

Here is the reference to NATO's Article 5: "The House of Representatives...(7) reaffirms its strong support for the security of United States allies and ironclad commitment to Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO); (8) emphasizes that NATO’s relationship with Ukraine is a matter only for Ukraine and the 30 NATO allies;..."

That is CLEARLY not giving Ukraine "defacto NATO status". Rather, it is reminding Vladimir Putin that a further attack on a NATO member would be met by U.S. and NATO defense, and that Russia has no right to dictate whether Ukraine and NATO can have discussions (far) down the road. Ukraine is sovereign and can associate with other countries.

Here is the full resolution:


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Thursday, February 3, 2022

Doing the Devil's Work, With Sinema (HERE'S LOOKING AT YOU, ARIZONA)

Headlining Politico this afternoon:



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Monday, January 31, 2022

BREAKING: Sinema Raises $1.6M In 4th Quarter, Crushing Previous Periods


***
BREAKING: @SenMarkKelly campaign picks up steam, narrowly misses $9M 4th quarter; has $29.2M in bank for this year's campaign


*******
Arizona Senator Kyrsten Sinema crushed her previous prodigious fundraising numbers in the 4th quarter of 2021, as nationwide publicity about the heartburn she was causing fellow Democrats was increasing.

Sinema raised $1.6M in the last three months of 2021, bringing her cash on hand to a staggering $5.8M. By contrast, her three previous cash hauls were $0.4M, $1.1M and $1.1M, respectively.

Sinema does not face a reelection battle until 2024. Some Democrats have begun fundraising to finance a challenger to her in the primary - generally considered to be either Rep. Ruben Gallego or Rep. Greg Stanton.

The entire report is not yet available on the FEC's website, but here is a snapshot:

Perhaps of more interest will be what was happening next door with her leadership PAC. Sinema's "Getting Stuff Done PAC" took in an additional $477,000 - $340,000 of that from a wide variety of corporate PACs. And, she spent $274,000 of that, including trips to London, Paris, Thanksgiving at L'Auberge in Sedona and Christmastime on Miami Beach. There were also many purchases from various wineries totaling more than $6,000.

The list of corporate PACs was not surprising, as there has been other reporting - pharmaceutical and financial companies stood out, as did several from media interests (including $5,000 from the Fox Corporation PAC).

Page through the report to get a more extensive feel for Sinema's contribution base.

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Friday, January 14, 2022

HERE'S LOOKING AT YOU, ARIZONA: Fallout From Sinema's Filibuster Speech, LCCs Most Likely To Spread Misinfo Because They Like Chaos

("Here's looking at you, Arizona" is an occasional series highlighting coverage of Arizona's politics, as seen through the lens of media outside of the state.)


Links to these articles:
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